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True odds, live edge and odds alerts

How Trackbet keeps the true odds of every pending bet fresh until kickoff, what to do when the edge turns against you, and how to get Telegram and in-app alerts when it does.

6 min readUpdated 13 Sept 2026Written by the Trackbet team

Key takeaways

  • True odds and the live edge are automatic for every linked pre-match bet, on every plan
  • Odds alerts (Pro) tell you the moment a bet's edge drops below your threshold — by Telegram and in the app
  • Alerts are one-shot per bet and stop at kickoff; a pre-kickoff summary shows where each bet stands
  • Use the alert as a decision aid: hold, cash out above the shown value, or hedge
  • The last true odds before kickoff become the closing line for your CLV

True odds on every pending bet

Every pre-match bet linked to an event shows its true odds: the no-margin price of your selection in the sharpest market, refreshed every 15 seconds in the last hours before kickoff and every 30–120 seconds further out. Under your odds you see the edge, the percentage difference between your price and the true odds. This runs for everyone, free and Pro, with nothing to switch on.

Example: you took a team at 2.10. The true odds were 2.00 when you bet (a +5% edge). If they drift to 1.90 by kickoff the market has moved your way and your closing line value will be positive; if they drift to 2.20 the market is telling you it disagrees.

Beside the edge is the optimal stake for it, so you can see at a glance whether a bet with a growing edge deserves a top-up at the same book.

Odds alerts

Watching the edge yourself is not practical across many bets, so Odds alerts (Pro) do it for you. Turn on alerts for a bet from its row menu, or for every bet you add on the Odds alerts page, and Trackbet sends you a message the moment the bet's edge drops below your threshold.

  • Threshold — set on the Odds alerts page: 0 (alert as soon as the edge is negative), −2%, −5%, −10% or a custom value. It applies to all your alerts at once
  • One alert per bet — the bet is flagged once; it does not re-alert every time the line bounces
  • Delivery — in-app always; Telegram when your account is linked and you have pressed Start in the Trackbet bot. The page shows the delivery state and a one-click fix if Telegram is not ready
  • Same-event bets — new bets on an event you already have alerts on are covered automatically

A few minutes before kickoff you also get a summary of every alerted bet on the event: your odds, the current true odds and the edge, so nothing starts without you knowing where it stands.

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What to do with an alert

A negative-edge alert is not a verdict, it is a decision aid. The message includes the expected current value of the bet — what it is worth now at the true odds, as a percentage of your stake. Three sensible responses:

  • Hold. A small negative edge on a bet you still believe in is not worth acting on; markets move both ways before kickoff
  • Cash out if the bookmaker offers more than the expected current value. Below that number the cash-out is the worse deal
  • Hedge the other side at a book that offers it at a better price than the true odds, locking in whatever edge is left

Free bets are shown with the same value line; only the returned stake differs.

At kickoff

Monitoring stops when the game actually starts, not just at the scheduled time: delayed matches keep their true odds and alerts running until the market really closes. The last true odds before the close become the closing line, and the bet's edge badge turns into its CLV badge. Bets on delayed events show a small "Delayed" label so you know why they have not moved to awaiting settlement.

From there the story continues in the analytics guide: the live score arrives, the result is suggested, and the CLV of the bet joins your long-term picture.

Using the movement to get better

Over time the true odds tell you three things about your betting:

  • Are you early or late? If the edge on your bets usually grows between placement and kickoff, you are ahead of the market. If it usually shrinks, you are following it
  • Which markets move your way? The CLV breakdown by time until kickoff, market and sport shows where your information advantage is real
  • How much does timing cost? Compare the edge at placement with the CLV at closing on the same bets; the difference is what waiting (or not waiting) cost you

Frequently asked questions

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